Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Mein won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1353
Hernani Perpetuo

Jordan MeinvsHernani PerpetuoUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · Saturday, April 19, 2014Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Jordan Mein won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jordan Mein wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Jordan Mein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Mein at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jordan Mein has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jordan Mein has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Mein
Red Corner
VS
Hernani Perpetuo
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
1491
Elo
1353
36
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan MeinW2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Thiago Alves · Jan 15
L
vs Emil Meek · Dec 16
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 17
W
vs Erick Silva · Dec 17
W
vs Alex Morono · Jul 18
latest
Hernani Perpetuo
oldest →
L
vs Tim Means · Jul 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan MeinMetricHernani Perpetuo
3.35
Strikes / min
2.73
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
4.37
69%
Strike defense
55%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
66%
Takedown defense
37%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap-1.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1500Strikes26.5 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-0.0 vs 0.0
Jordan MeinHernani Perpetuo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jordan Mein(9 fights)Hernani Perpetuo(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +137.8|Blue -137.8
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan MeinTargetHernani Perpetuo

By target zone

25
41% acc · 54%
Head
10
15% acc · 48%
10
83% acc · 22%
Body
6
35% acc · 29%
11
100% acc · 24%
Leg
5
63% acc · 24%

By position

37
51% acc · 80%
Distance
20
22% acc · 95%
1
100% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
8
73% acc · 17%
Ground
1
50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jordan Mein rounds
0
even
0
Hernani Perpetuo rounds
Round 1Jordan Mein edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control1:41
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jordan Mein edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:35
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jordan Mein edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control0:56
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
46 / 84
Sig Strikes
21 / 93
55.7%
Sig Str %
25%
62 / 102
Total Strikes
26 / 99
4 / 4
TDs
0 / 1
100%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
3:12
Ctrl Time
0:43

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hernani Perpetuo6 / 166 / 160 / 10
1Jordan Mein17 / 2528 / 371 / 10
2Hernani Perpetuo7 / 397 / 390 / 00
2Jordan Mein16 / 2720 / 321 / 10
3Hernani Perpetuo8 / 3813 / 440 / 01
3Jordan Mein13 / 3214 / 332 / 20

Jordan Mein

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9

Hernani Perpetuo

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2