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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jordan Mein won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1363

Jordan MeinvsErick SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, December 16, 2017Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

Jordan Mein won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJordan Mein: Well-roundedvsErick Silva: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Jordan Mein wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Jordan Mein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Mein at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jordan Mein has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Mein

Red Corner

Erick Silva

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1491

Elo

1363

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan Mein

oldest →

KOvs Mike Pyle · Aug 14

KOvs Thiago Alves · Jan 15

vs Emil Meek · Dec 16

vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 17

vs Alex Morono · Jul 18

latest

Erick Silva

oldest →

SUBvs Josh Koscheck · Mar 15

vs Neil Magny · Aug 15

KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16

SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16

KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan MeinMetricErick Silva

3.35

Strikes / min

2.50

2.55

Strikes absorbed / min

4.18

69%

Strike defense

49%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.85

66%

Takedown defense

56%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-1.68

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan MeinErick Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Mein(9 fights)Erick Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +128.1|Blue -128.1

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan MeinTargetErick Silva

By target zone

38% acc · 86%

Head

13% acc · 38%

50% acc · 6%

Body

67% acc · 31%

80% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 31%

By position

34% acc · 41%

Distance

26% acc · 92%

58% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

43% acc · 45%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Mein rounds

even

Erick Silva rounds

Round 1Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:05

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 2Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control3:56

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:51

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 127

Sig Strikes

13 / 48

39.3%

Sig Str %

27.7%

97 / 183

Total Strikes

16 / 51

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 3

83.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:52

Ctrl Time

0:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Erick Silva	8 / 32	8 / 32	0 / 3	0
1	Jordan Mein	20 / 48	20 / 48	1 / 2	0
2	Erick Silva	1 / 7	2 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Jordan Mein	19 / 47	34 / 64	1 / 1	0
3	Erick Silva	4 / 9	6 / 11	0 / 0	0
3	Jordan Mein	12 / 32	43 / 71	1 / 1	1

Jordan Mein

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Erick Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights15