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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Emil Meek won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1381

Jordan MeinvsEmil MeekUFC Prediction Result

UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Saturday, December 10, 2016Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Emil Meek won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jordan Mein wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Emil Meek wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Mein at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Emil Meek enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jordan Mein has 31pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jordan Mein has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Emil Meek (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Mein

Red Corner

Emil Meek

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1491

Elo

1381

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan MeinW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mike Pyle · Aug 14

KOvs Thiago Alves · Jan 15

vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 17

vs Erick Silva · Dec 17

vs Alex Morono · Jul 18

latest

Emil MeekL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kamaru Usman · Jan 18

vs Bartosz Fabinski · Jul 18

vs Jake Matthews · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan MeinMetricEmil Meek

3.35

Strikes / min

2.52

2.55

Strikes absorbed / min

2.53

69%

Strike defense

38%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.25

66%

Takedown defense

47%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan MeinEmil Meek

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Mein(9 fights)Emil Meek(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +110.1|Blue -110.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan MeinTargetEmil Meek

By target zone

51% acc · 65%

Head

25% acc · 50%

60% acc · 18%

Body

77% acc · 34%

75% acc · 18%

Leg

67% acc · 16%

By position

56% acc · 91%

Distance

27% acc · 54%

40% acc · 6%

Clinch

13% acc · 2%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

85% acc · 44%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Mein rounds

even

Emil Meek rounds

Round 1Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns3

Control1:39

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Emil Meek edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:58Control

Round 3Emil Meek edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:51Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 61

Sig Strikes

50 / 133

55%

Sig Str %

38%

35 / 62

Total Strikes

96 / 190

3 / 5

TDs

1 / 2

37.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:39

Ctrl Time

8:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Emil Meek	18 / 56	18 / 56	0 / 0	0
1	Jordan Mein	22 / 37	23 / 38	3 / 4	0
2	Emil Meek	19 / 40	35 / 61	1 / 1	1
2	Jordan Mein	6 / 9	6 / 9	0 / 0	0
3	Emil Meek	13 / 37	43 / 73	0 / 1	0
3	Jordan Mein	6 / 15	6 / 15	0 / 1	0

Jordan Mein

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Emil Meek

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4