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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1479

Jordan MeinvsBelal MuhammadUFC Prediction Result

UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · Saturday, July 8, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Belal Muhammad won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJordan Mein: Well-roundedvsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Belal Muhammad at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jordan Mein has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Belal Muhammad has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Mein

Red Corner

Belal Muhammad

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1491

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan MeinW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mike Pyle · Aug 14

KOvs Thiago Alves · Jan 15

vs Emil Meek · Dec 16

vs Erick Silva · Dec 17

vs Alex Morono · Jul 18

latest

Belal MuhammadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gilbert Burns · May 23

vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24

vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25

vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25

DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan MeinMetricBelal Muhammad

3.35

Strikes / min

4.43

2.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.82

69%

Strike defense

55%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

2.14

66%

Takedown defense

90%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan MeinBelal Muhammad

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Mein(9 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.0|Blue -12.0

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan MeinTargetBelal Muhammad

By target zone

15% acc · 11%

Head

34% acc · 67%

86% acc · 17%

Body

65% acc · 29%

93% acc · 72%

Leg

67% acc · 4%

By position

58% acc · 97%

Distance

32% acc · 60%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

72% acc · 29%

Ground

71% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Mein rounds

even

Belal Muhammad rounds

Round 1Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:45Control

Round 2Belal Muhammad edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:13Control

Round 3Belal Muhammad edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:36

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:56Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 61

Sig Strikes

45 / 110

51%

Sig Str %

44.3%

49 / 74

Total Strikes

116 / 194

1 / 6

TDs

4 / 12

11%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

6:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Belal Muhammad	17 / 51	29 / 64	0 / 4	0
1	Jordan Mein	22 / 36	28 / 42	0 / 1	0
2	Belal Muhammad	18 / 42	42 / 68	2 / 4	0
2	Jordan Mein	13 / 22	17 / 26	0 / 2	0
3	Belal Muhammad	10 / 17	45 / 62	2 / 4	0
3	Jordan Mein	1 / 3	4 / 6	1 / 3	1

Jordan Mein

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Belal Muhammad

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights21