Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jordan Mein won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1478

Jordan MeinvsAlex MoronoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, July 28, 2018Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Jordan Mein won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJordan Mein: Well-roundedvsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(54.7%)

Actual result: Jordan Mein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Morono at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jordan Mein has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jordan Mein has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Mein

Red Corner

Alex Morono

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1491

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan Mein

oldest →

KOvs Mike Pyle · Aug 14

KOvs Thiago Alves · Jan 15

vs Emil Meek · Dec 16

vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 17

vs Erick Silva · Dec 17

latest

Alex MoronoL4 streak

oldest →

vs Court McGee · Apr 24

vs Niko Price · Jun 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan MeinMetricAlex Morono

3.35

Strikes / min

4.90

2.55

Strikes absorbed / min

4.88

69%

Strike defense

55%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.32

66%

Takedown defense

47%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan MeinAlex Morono

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Mein(9 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +13.6|Blue -13.6

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +64.0|Blue -64.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan MeinTargetAlex Morono

By target zone

28% acc · 64%

Head

25% acc · 75%

100% acc · 21%

Body

60% acc · 15%

67% acc · 14%

Leg

67% acc · 10%

By position

23% acc · 43%

Distance

28% acc · 80%

Clinch

67% acc · 57%

Ground

40% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Mein rounds

even

Alex Morono rounds

Round 1Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control3:19

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Jordan Mein edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control4:19

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control1:24

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 38

Sig Strikes

20 / 67

35.3%

Sig Str %

28.3%

27 / 53

Total Strikes

58 / 108

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:02

Ctrl Time

1:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Morono	10 / 32	36 / 61	0 / 0	0
1	Jordan Mein	5 / 15	13 / 25	2 / 2	0
2	Alex Morono	3 / 14	15 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Jordan Mein	7 / 13	12 / 18	1 / 1	0
3	Alex Morono	7 / 21	7 / 21	0 / 0	1
3	Jordan Mein	2 / 10	2 / 10	0 / 1	0

Jordan Mein

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23