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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Joanderson Brito won · Submission R1

Elo1506

Elo1538

Jordan LeavittvsJoanderson BritoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Saturday, June 6, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Joanderson Brito won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:19

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Joanderson Brito

Style matchupJordan Leavitt: WrestlervsJoanderson Brito: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Joanderson Brito wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Joanderson Brito wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joanderson Brito threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 75% of fights by sub.
Jordan Leavitt has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Joanderson Brito has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Leavitt

Red Corner

Joanderson Brito

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1506

Elo

1538

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan LeavittW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 22

KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23

SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23

SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25

vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26

latest

Joanderson Brito

oldest →

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Nov 23

KOvs Jack Shore · May 24

vs William Gomis · Sep 24

vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 25

vs Isaac Thomson · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan LeavittMetricJoanderson Brito

2.21

Strikes / min

2.43

1.59

Strikes absorbed / min

2.32

58%

Strike defense

44%

3.15

TDs / 15 min

3.38

30%

Takedown defense

47%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.11

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Leavitt(10 fights)Joanderson Brito(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.3|Blue +32.3

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan LeavittTargetJoanderson Brito

By target zone

100% acc · 43%

Head

30% acc · 60%

67% acc · 57%

Body

100% acc · 40%

Leg

0% acc

By position

75% acc · 43%

Distance

27% acc · 60%

80% acc · 57%

Clinch

100% acc · 40%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Leavitt rounds

even

Joanderson Brito rounds

Round 1Jordan Leavitt edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control2:21

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 9

Sig Strikes

5 / 13

77%

Sig Str %

38%

27 / 29

Total Strikes

15 / 24

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:21

Ctrl Time

1:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joanderson Brito	5 / 13	15 / 24	0 / 0	1
1	Jordan Leavitt	7 / 9	27 / 29	0 / 5	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 50% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Jordan Leavitt

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Joanderson Brito

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10