← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Youssef Zalal won · U-DEC R3

Elo1399

Elo1526

Jordan GriffinvsYoussef ZalalUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · Saturday, June 27, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Youssef Zalal won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJordan Griffin: Submission grapplervsYoussef Zalal: Submission grappler

Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.

Model Prediction: Youssef Zalal wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Youssef Zalal wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Youssef Zalal at -114 American odds

+$88 profit

$188 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Youssef Zalal has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Griffin

Red Corner

Youssef Zalal

Blue Corner

-106

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-114

(53%)

1399

Elo

1526

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan Griffin

oldest →

vs Dan Ige · Dec 18

vs Chas Skelly · Sep 19

SUBvs TJ Brown · Feb 20

vs Luis Saldana · Apr 21

latest

Youssef Zalal

oldest →

SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24

SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24

vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25

SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25

DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan GriffinMetricYoussef Zalal

2.52

Strikes / min

2.78

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

1.79

50%

Strike defense

64%

1.45

TDs / 15 min

1.84

42%

Takedown defense

55%

1.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.50Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan GriffinYoussef Zalal

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Griffin(5 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -127.6|Blue +127.6

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan GriffinTargetYoussef Zalal

By target zone

39% acc · 93%

Head

49% acc · 71%

100% acc · 7%

Body

61% acc · 19%

Leg

67% acc · 10%

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

48% acc · 80%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

0% acc

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Griffin rounds

even

Youssef Zalal rounds

Round 1Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:54

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:13Control

Round 2Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:55

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 3Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control1:45

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 69

Sig Strikes

59 / 112

37.7%

Sig Str %

48.3%

33 / 74

Total Strikes

70 / 123

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 2

23.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:34

Ctrl Time

4:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Youssef Zalal	11 / 29	12 / 30	0 / 1
1	Jordan Griffin	3 / 19	3 / 19	1 / 2
2	Youssef Zalal	13 / 31	22 / 40	0 / 0
2	Jordan Griffin	8 / 24	12 / 28	0 / 1
3	Youssef Zalal	35 / 52	36 / 53	0 / 1
3	Jordan Griffin	17 / 26	18 / 27	1 / 5

Jordan Griffin

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5

Youssef Zalal

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11