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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Henrique da Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1362

Elo1362

Henrique da Silva editorial illustration

Jonathan WilsonvsHenrique da SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Saturday, June 4, 2016Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Henrique da Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:11

Model Prediction: Jonathan Wilson wins(79.7%)

Actual result: Henrique da Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Wilson at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henrique da Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jonathan Wilson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Henrique da Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Jonathan Wilson has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jonathan Wilson has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Wilson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jonathan Wilson

Red Corner

Henrique da Silva

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1362

Elo

1362

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jonathan WilsonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris Dempsey · Aug 15

vs Ion Cutelaba · Oct 16

vs Oskar Piechota · Oct 17

latest

Henrique da SilvaL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Joachim Christensen · Oct 16

SUBvs Paul Craig · Dec 16

vs Jordan Johnson · Jan 17

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 17

KOvs Gokhan Saki · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jonathan WilsonMetricHenrique da Silva

2.92

Strikes / min

3.89

5.65

Strikes absorbed / min

5.28

56%

Strike defense

40%

0.37

TDs / 15 min

0.25

80%

Takedown defense

22%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.73Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap-1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jonathan WilsonHenrique da Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jonathan Wilson(4 fights)Henrique da Silva(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jonathan WilsonTargetHenrique da Silva

By target zone

65% acc · 80%

Head

54% acc · 68%

87% acc · 20%

Body

70% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

63% acc · 70%

Distance

40% acc · 31%

82% acc · 21%

Clinch

64% acc · 31%

86% acc · 9%

Ground

89% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jonathan Wilson rounds

even

Henrique da Silva rounds

Round 1Jonathan Wilson edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:02

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Henrique da Silva edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control1:19

Knockdowns1

49Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:11Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 97

Sig Strikes

81 / 136

70%

Sig Str %

58.5%

71 / 102

Total Strikes

97 / 153

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:21

Ctrl Time

1:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Henrique da Silva	32 / 62	34 / 64	0 / 0
1	Jonathan Wilson	42 / 66	46 / 70	0 / 0
2	Henrique da Silva	49 / 74	63 / 89	0 / 0
2	Jonathan Wilson	24 / 31	25 / 32	1 / 1

Jonathan Wilson

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Henrique da Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6