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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jonathan Pearce won · KO/TKO
Elo1494
Jonathan Pearce
Elo1400
Kai Kamaka

Jonathan PearcevsKai KamakaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · Saturday, November 28, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jonathan Pearce won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Jonathan Pearce wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Jonathan Pearce wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Pearce at +245 American odds

+$245 profit

$345 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jonathan Pearce
Red Corner
VS
Kai Kamaka
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-335
(77%)
1494
Elo
1400
34
Age
25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jonathan PearceL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22
W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22
L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23
L
vs David Onama · Apr 24
L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24
latest
Kai Kamaka
oldest →
L
vs TJ Brown · May 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jonathan PearceMetricKai Kamaka
5.12
Strikes / min
—
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Strike defense
—
5.02
TDs / 15 min
—
55%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1480 vs 1500Strikes11.2 vs 7.6Takedowns4.5 vs 5.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Jonathan PearceKai Kamaka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)Kai Kamaka(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +94.2|Blue -94.2
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jonathan Pearce

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Kai Kamaka

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1