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Featherweight

3 Rounds

David Onama won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1513

Jonathan PearcevsDavid OnamaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Saturday, April 27, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

David Onama won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJonathan Pearce: WrestlervsDavid Onama: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jonathan Pearce wins(72.3%)

Actual result: David Onama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Pearce at -162 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jonathan Pearce

Red Corner

David Onama

Blue Corner

-162

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+136

(42%)

1494

Elo

1513

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jonathan PearceL2 streak

oldest →

vs Christian Rodriguez · Feb 22

KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22

vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22

SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23

SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24

latest

David Onama

oldest →

vs Nate Landwehr · Aug 22

KOvs Gabriel Santos · Jun 23

vs Roberto Romero · Nov 24

vs Giga Chikadze · Apr 25

KOvs Steve Garcia · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jonathan PearceMetricDavid Onama

5.12

Strikes / min

5.07

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

4.89

54%

Strike defense

51%

5.02

TDs / 15 min

1.05

55%

Takedown defense

52%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.80Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jonathan PearceDavid Onama

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)David Onama(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.7|Blue +18.7

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jonathan PearceTargetDavid Onama

By target zone

36% acc · 65%

Head

53% acc · 86%

68% acc · 23%

Body

75% acc · 10%

88% acc · 12%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

39% acc · 77%

Distance

55% acc · 93%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

80% acc · 7%

86% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jonathan Pearce rounds

even

David Onama rounds

Round 1Jonathan Pearce edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:50

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 2Jonathan Pearce edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns3

Control3:16

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 3David Onama edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control0:43

39Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 129

Sig Strikes

58 / 104

51%

Sig Str %

54.7%

87 / 165

Total Strikes

66 / 115

5 / 14

TDs

0 / 1

45.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:49

Ctrl Time

2:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	David Onama	14 / 23	18 / 29	0 / 0	0
1	Jonathan Pearce	15 / 41	15 / 41	1 / 5	0
2	David Onama	5 / 10	6 / 11	0 / 0	1
2	Jonathan Pearce	14 / 18	29 / 37	3 / 3	1
3	David Onama	39 / 71	42 / 75	0 / 1	0
3	Jonathan Pearce	28 / 70	43 / 87	1 / 6	0

Jonathan Pearce

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

David Onama

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9