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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jonathan Micallef won · Decision R3
Elo1551
Elo1489
Themba Gorimbo

Jonathan MicallefvsThemba GorimboUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia

Official fight result

Jonathan Micallef won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJonathan Micallef: Well-roundedvsThemba Gorimbo: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jonathan Micallef wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Jonathan Micallef wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Jonathan Micallef
Red Corner
VS
Themba Gorimbo
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1551
Elo
1489
27
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jonathan MicallefW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Kevin Jousset · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Oban Elliott · Jan 26
latest
Themba GorimboL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24
W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24
W
vs Niko Price · Oct 24
L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24
L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jonathan MicallefMetricThemba Gorimbo
3.85
Strikes / min
2.70
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
4.52
66%
Takedown defense
73%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.95
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701495152015451570← oldermost recent →
Jonathan Micallef(3 fights)Themba Gorimbo(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +62.2|Blue -62.2
Recent Form
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jonathan Micallef

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2

Themba Gorimbo

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7