Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jonathan Martinez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1504

Elo1494

Jonathan MartinezvsZviad LazishviliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Saturday, October 23, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jonathan Martinez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJonathan Martinez: Pressure fightervsZviad Lazishvili: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jonathan Martinez wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Jonathan Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Martinez at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jonathan Martinez has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jonathan Martinez

Red Corner

Zviad Lazishvili

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1504

Elo

1494

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jonathan MartinezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23

vs Jose Aldo · May 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24

latest

Zviad LazishviliNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jonathan MartinezMetricZviad Lazishvili

4.44

Strikes / min

4.20

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

6.13

56%

Strike defense

51%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

0.00

68%

Takedown defense

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-1.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jonathan MartinezZviad Lazishvili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)Zviad Lazishvili(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.4|Blue -10.4

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jonathan MartinezTargetZviad Lazishvili

By target zone

42% acc · 71%

Head

22% acc · 40%

74% acc · 15%

Body

77% acc · 27%

87% acc · 14%

Leg

91% acc · 33%

By position

49% acc · 100%

Distance

39% acc · 95%

Clinch

43% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jonathan Martinez rounds

even

Zviad Lazishvili rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:30Control

Round 2Jonathan Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jonathan Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

92 / 188

Sig Strikes

63 / 160

48.7%

Sig Str %

38.7%

94 / 191

Total Strikes

66 / 163

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 6

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Zviad Lazishvili	19 / 46	22 / 49	0 / 4
1	Jonathan Martinez	23 / 46	25 / 49	0 / 0
2	Zviad Lazishvili	27 / 63	27 / 63	0 / 1
2	Jonathan Martinez	29 / 61	29 / 61	0 / 0
3	Zviad Lazishvili	17 / 51	17 / 51	0 / 1
3	Jonathan Martinez	40 / 81	40 / 81	0 / 0

Jonathan Martinez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15

Zviad Lazishvili

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights1