Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Davey Grant won · KO/TKO

Elo1504

Elo1521

Jonathan MartinezvsDavey GrantUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Saturday, March 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Davey Grant won

KO/TKO

Style matchupJonathan Martinez: Pressure fightervsDavey Grant: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jonathan Martinez wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Martinez at -300 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jonathan Martinez

Red Corner

Davey Grant

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1504

Elo

1521

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jonathan MartinezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23

vs Jose Aldo · May 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24

latest

Davey Grant

oldest →

vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23

vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24

vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25

DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jonathan MartinezMetricDavey Grant

4.44

Strikes / min

5.58

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

56%

Strike defense

54%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

0.95

68%

Takedown defense

65%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jonathan MartinezDavey Grant

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -16.5|Blue +16.5

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jonathan MartinezTargetDavey Grant

By target zone

28% acc · 55%

Head

22% acc · 29%

83% acc · 17%

Body

63% acc · 40%

100% acc · 28%

Leg

94% acc · 31%

By position

39% acc · 90%

Distance

43% acc · 96%

Clinch

60% acc · 10%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jonathan Martinez rounds

even

Davey Grant rounds

Round 1Jonathan Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:25

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 71

Sig Strikes

48 / 110

40%

Sig Str %

43.5%

29 / 71

Total Strikes

49 / 111

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:25

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Davey Grant	20 / 54	21 / 55	0 / 0
1	Jonathan Martinez	19 / 38	19 / 38	0 / 0
2	Davey Grant	28 / 56	28 / 56	0 / 1
2	Jonathan Martinez	10 / 33	10 / 33	0 / 0

Jonathan Martinez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16