Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Jon Jones won · U-DEC R5
Elo1511
Jon Jones
Elo1450

Jon JonesvsGlover TeixeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · Saturday, April 26, 2014Baltimore, Maryland, USA

Official fight result

Jon Jones won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupJon Jones: Elusive strikervsGlover Teixeira: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jon Jones at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Jon Jones has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jon Jones has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jon Jones has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Glover Teixeira
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
1511
Elo
1450
39
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
213.36 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19
W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19
W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20
W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23
W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24
latest
Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20
W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20
W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21
L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jon JonesMetricGlover Teixeira
4.38
Strikes / min
3.73
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.43
64%
Strike defense
51%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
2.11
95%
Takedown defense
60%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1639 vs 1576Strikes49.0 vs 41.2Takedowns1.9 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.57 vs 0.60Form1.0 vs 1.0
Jon JonesGlover Teixeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901500151015201530← oldermost recent →
Jon Jones(10 fights)Glover Teixeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +61.6|Blue -61.6
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -17.0|Blue +17.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jon JonesTargetGlover Teixeira

By target zone

88
49% acc · 64%
Head
34
22% acc · 64%
25
89% acc · 18%
Body
19
50% acc · 36%
25
86% acc · 18%
Leg
0

By position

99
54% acc · 72%
Distance
30
22% acc · 57%
37
76% acc · 27%
Clinch
23
40% acc · 43%
2
40% acc · 1%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

5
Jon Jones rounds
0
even
0
Glover Teixeira rounds
Round 1Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:13
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:22
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control1:52
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control1:45
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:39
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
138 / 236
Sig Strikes
53 / 192
58.2%
Sig Str %
27.4%
158 / 256
Total Strikes
65 / 204
3 / 6
TDs
0 / 5
50%
TD %
0%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:51
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Glover Teixeira13 / 4616 / 490 / 10
1Jon Jones23 / 3823 / 381 / 22
2Glover Teixeira9 / 359 / 350 / 20
2Jon Jones25 / 4225 / 420 / 10
3Glover Teixeira12 / 3615 / 390 / 10
3Jon Jones35 / 5347 / 650 / 10
4Jon Jones31 / 5335 / 571 / 10
4Glover Teixeira9 / 3214 / 370 / 10
5Glover Teixeira10 / 4311 / 440 / 00
5Jon Jones24 / 5028 / 541 / 10

Jon Jones

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights23