Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
- Jon Jones has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 18W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24 Dominick Reyes
oldest →W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25W
DECvs Johnny Walker · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricDominick Reyes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.14evenly matched on net striking+1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon JonesDominick Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Dominick Reyes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.6|Blue +10.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +104.0|Blue -104.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon JonesTargetDominick Reyes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:15
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:56
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:30
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
