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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Johny Hendricks won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1362

Elo1354

Johny HendricksvsCharlie BrennemanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · Saturday, August 7, 2010Oakland, California, USA

Official fight result

Johny Hendricks won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:40

Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsCharlie Brenneman: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Johny Hendricks wins(69.5%)

Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johny Hendricks at -370 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Johny Hendricks

Red Corner

Charlie Brenneman

Blue Corner

-370

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+310

(24%)

1362

Elo

1354

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johny HendricksL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16

vs Neil Magny · Dec 16

vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17

KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17

KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17

latest

Charlie BrennemanL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12

KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12

SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14

KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14

SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johny HendricksMetricCharlie Brenneman

3.49

Strikes / min

1.52

3.99

Strikes absorbed / min

1.55

53%

Strike defense

46%

3.83

TDs / 15 min

4.23

63%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Johny HendricksCharlie Brenneman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.7|Blue -8.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red -38.0|Blue +38.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johny HendricksTargetCharlie Brenneman

By target zone

62% acc · 75%

Head

23% acc · 78%

83% acc · 18%

Body

100% acc · 22%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

48% acc · 36%

Distance

16% acc · 33%

67% acc · 14%

Clinch

43% acc · 67%

93% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Johny Hendricks rounds

even

Charlie Brenneman rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:43

6Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:07Control

Round 2Johny Hendricks edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns2

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 42

Sig Strikes

9 / 33

68%

Sig Str %

29%

34 / 48

Total Strikes

15 / 40

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:51

Ctrl Time

2:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Charlie Brenneman	6 / 24	12 / 31	2 / 3
1	Johny Hendricks	13 / 17	19 / 23	0 / 1
2	Charlie Brenneman	3 / 9	3 / 9	0 / 1
2	Johny Hendricks	15 / 25	15 / 25	0 / 0

Johny Hendricks

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights19

Charlie Brenneman

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11