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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Johnny Walker won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1495

Elo1489

Johnny WalkervsZhang MingyangUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Saturday, August 23, 2025Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Johnny Walker won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:37

Style matchupJohnny Walker: Well-roundedvsZhang Mingyang: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Zhang Mingyang wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Johnny Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zhang Mingyang at -370 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Johnny Walker enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Zhang Mingyang has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Zhang Mingyang is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Johnny Walker has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Zhang Mingyang has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Johnny Walker has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Johnny Walker

Red Corner

Zhang Mingyang

Blue Corner

+295

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-370

(79%)

1495

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'2"

208.28 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johnny WalkerL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Paul Craig · Jan 23

vs Anthony Smith · May 23

KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24

DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26

latest

Zhang Mingyang

oldest →

KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Feb 24

KOvs Ozzy Diaz · Nov 24

KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 25

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johnny WalkerMetricZhang Mingyang

3.90

Strikes / min

7.71

2.99

Strikes absorbed / min

5.33

46%

Strike defense

43%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.00

57%

Takedown defense

75%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.91Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap+2.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Johnny WalkerZhang Mingyang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Johnny Walker(10 fights)Zhang Mingyang(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.5|Blue -5.5

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +308.0|Blue -308.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johnny WalkerTargetZhang Mingyang

By target zone

73% acc · 72%

Head

23% acc · 40%

20% acc · 2%

Body

100% acc · 30%

100% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 30%

By position

58% acc · 30%

Distance

38% acc · 75%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

67% acc · 20%

89% acc · 66%

Ground

50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Johnny Walker rounds

even

Zhang Mingyang rounds

Round 1Zhang Mingyang edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:39

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:21Control

Round 2Johnny Walker edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:41

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 67

Sig Strikes

20 / 47

65.5%

Sig Str %

43.5%

51 / 70

Total Strikes

28 / 59

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:20

Ctrl Time

1:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Zhang Mingyang	12 / 30	20 / 42	0 / 0
1	Johnny Walker	9 / 22	10 / 25	0 / 2
2	Zhang Mingyang	8 / 17	8 / 17	0 / 0
2	Johnny Walker	41 / 45	41 / 45	0 / 0

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights14

Zhang Mingyang

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5