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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Volkan Oezdemir won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1495

Elo1515

Johnny WalkervsVolkan OezdemirUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Saturday, June 22, 2024Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:28

Style matchupJohnny Walker: Well-roundedvsVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Johnny Walker wins(51.3%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johnny Walker at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Johnny Walker has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Volkan Oezdemir has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Johnny Walker has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Johnny Walker

Red Corner

Volkan Oezdemir

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1495

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'2"

208.28 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johnny Walker

oldest →

KOvs Paul Craig · Jan 23

vs Anthony Smith · May 23

KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25

DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26

latest

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Paul Craig · Jul 22

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johnny WalkerMetricVolkan Oezdemir

3.90

Strikes / min

4.99

2.99

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

46%

Strike defense

55%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.50

57%

Takedown defense

80%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Johnny WalkerVolkan Oezdemir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Johnny Walker(10 fights)Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.7|Blue +20.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johnny WalkerTargetVolkan Oezdemir

By target zone

30% acc · 40%

Head

45% acc · 59%

50% acc · 20%

Body

75% acc · 24%

86% acc · 40%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

45% acc · 100%

Distance

56% acc · 89%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

Ground

50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Johnny Walker rounds

even

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 33

Sig Strikes

37 / 67

45%

Sig Str %

55%

15 / 33

Total Strikes

37 / 67

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Volkan Oezdemir	37 / 67	37 / 67	0 / 0	0
1	Johnny Walker	15 / 33	15 / 33	0 / 0	0

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights14

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16