Skip to content
Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Jamahal Hill won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Elo1485
Jamahal Hill

Johnny WalkervsJamahal HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Saturday, February 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamahal Hill won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:55

Style matchupJohnny Walker: Well-roundedvsJamahal Hill: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Jamahal Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Jamahal Hill has lost 75% of fights by KO.
  • Jamahal Hill is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Johnny Walker has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Jamahal Hill has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Johnny Walker
Red Corner
VS
Jamahal Hill
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1495
Elo
1485
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'6"
Height
6'4"
208.28 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johnny Walker
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Smith · May 23
L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25
L
DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26
latest
Jamahal HillL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22
W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25
L
vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johnny WalkerMetricJamahal Hill
3.90
Strikes / min
6.19
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
46%
Strike defense
44%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.00
57%
Takedown defense
73%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1522 vs 1546Strikes3.9 vs 7.2Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs 0.5
Johnny WalkerJamahal Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Johnny Walker(10 fights)Jamahal Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +9.2|Blue -9.2
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johnny WalkerTargetJamahal Hill

By target zone

4
27% acc · 33%
Head
5
29% acc · 83%
3
60% acc · 25%
Body
1
50% acc · 17%
5
100% acc · 42%
Leg
0

By position

12
48% acc · 100%
Distance
5
28% acc · 83%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
1
100% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Johnny Walker rounds
1
even
0
Jamahal Hill rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
12 / 25
Sig Strikes
6 / 19
48%
Sig Str %
31%
12 / 25
Total Strikes
7 / 20
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:22
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jamahal Hill6 / 197 / 200 / 00
1Johnny Walker12 / 2512 / 250 / 00

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights14

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11