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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Nathaniel Wood won · SUB R2

Elo1409

Elo1543

Johnny EduardovsNathaniel WoodUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · Friday, June 1, 2018Utica, New York, USA

Official fight result

Nathaniel Wood won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:18

Style matchupJohnny Eduardo: Well-roundedvsNathaniel Wood: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Johnny Eduardo wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johnny Eduardo at +205 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nathaniel Wood has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Johnny Eduardo

Red Corner

Nathaniel Wood

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1409

Elo

1543

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johnny EduardoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · May 14

SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15

KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17

SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21

latest

Nathaniel WoodW4 streak

oldest →

vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23

vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24

vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25

vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25

vs Losene Keita · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johnny EduardoMetricNathaniel Wood

2.95

Strikes / min

5.64

3.22

Strikes absorbed / min

4.25

63%

Strike defense

54%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

1.35

58%

Takedown defense

73%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.27Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Johnny EduardoNathaniel Wood

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -133.7|Blue +133.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johnny EduardoTargetNathaniel Wood

By target zone

38% acc · 73%

Head

27% acc · 61%

38% acc · 8%

Body

43% acc · 9%

88% acc · 19%

Leg

59% acc · 30%

By position

41% acc · 95%

Distance

34% acc · 100%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Johnny Eduardo rounds

even

Nathaniel Wood rounds

Round 1Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nathaniel Wood edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:03

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 88

Sig Strikes

33 / 97

41%

Sig Str %

34.5%

37 / 88

Total Strikes

33 / 97

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nathaniel Wood	24 / 73	24 / 73	0 / 0	0
1	Johnny Eduardo	31 / 73	31 / 73	0 / 0	0
2	Nathaniel Wood	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 0	1
2	Johnny Eduardo	6 / 15	6 / 15	0 / 1	0

Johnny Eduardo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Nathaniel Wood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14