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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Johnny Eduardo won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1409

Elo1358

Johnny EduardovsManvel GamburyanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Johnny Eduardo won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:46

Style matchupJohnny Eduardo: Well-roundedvsManvel Gamburyan: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Manvel Gamburyan wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Johnny Eduardo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manvel Gamburyan at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Johnny Eduardo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Johnny Eduardo has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Johnny Eduardo

Red Corner

Manvel Gamburyan

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1409

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johnny EduardoL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · May 14

SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18

SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21

latest

Manvel Gamburyan

oldest →

vs Cole Miller · Aug 13

vs Nik Lentz · May 14

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Sep 14

vs Scott Jorgensen · Jul 15

KOvs John Dodson · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johnny EduardoMetricManvel Gamburyan

2.95

Strikes / min

2.13

3.22

Strikes absorbed / min

2.83

63%

Strike defense

55%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

3.26

58%

Takedown defense

69%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Johnny EduardoManvel Gamburyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)Manvel Gamburyan(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +50.4|Blue -50.4

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +128.0|Blue -128.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johnny EduardoTargetManvel Gamburyan

By target zone

37% acc · 54%

Head

33% acc · 55%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 27%

80% acc · 46%

Leg

67% acc · 18%

By position

38% acc · 62%

Distance

38% acc · 73%

Clinch

100% acc · 27%

83% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Johnny Eduardo rounds

even

Manvel Gamburyan rounds

Round 1Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:25

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 54

Sig Strikes

11 / 24

51%

Sig Str %

47.5%

28 / 56

Total Strikes

13 / 26

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Manvel Gamburyan	10 / 22	12 / 24	0 / 2
1	Johnny Eduardo	12 / 33	14 / 35	0 / 0
2	Manvel Gamburyan	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 1
2	Johnny Eduardo	14 / 21	14 / 21	0 / 0

Johnny Eduardo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Manvel Gamburyan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9