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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Gibson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1354
Johnny Bedford
Elo1458
Cody Gibson

Johnny BedfordvsCody GibsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Cody Gibson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:38

Style matchupJohnny Bedford: Elusive strikervsCody Gibson: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Johnny Bedford wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Cody Gibson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johnny Bedford at -185 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Johnny Bedford
Red Corner
VS
Cody Gibson
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1354
Elo
1458
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Johnny BedfordL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Louis Gaudinot · Dec 11
W
KOvs Marcos Vinicius · Dec 12
L
SUBvs Bryan Caraway · Apr 13
L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Sep 14
latest
Cody GibsonL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Nov 24
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Mar 25
L
KOvs Aoriqileng · Oct 25
L
SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Johnny BedfordMetricCody Gibson
4.53
Strikes / min
3.63
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
63%
Strike defense
57%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
2.12
62%
Takedown defense
69%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.78Δ 2.37 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1484Strikes42.5 vs 18.0Takedowns1.3 vs 4.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form-0.0 vs -1.0
Johnny BedfordCody Gibson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Johnny Bedford(5 fights)Cody Gibson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -104.3|Blue +104.3
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +3.0|Blue -3.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +301.0|Blue -301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Johnny BedfordTargetCody Gibson

By target zone

5
56% acc · 71%
Head
2
33% acc · 67%
2
100% acc · 29%
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 33%

By position

3
75% acc · 43%
Distance
2
40% acc · 67%
4
57% acc · 57%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 33%
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Johnny Bedford rounds
0
even
1
Cody Gibson rounds
Round 1Cody Gibson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
7 / 11
Sig Strikes
3 / 8
63%
Sig Str %
37%
7 / 11
Total Strikes
3 / 8
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cody Gibson3 / 83 / 80 / 00
1Johnny Bedford7 / 117 / 110 / 00

Johnny Bedford

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11