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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Hugo Viana won · S-DEC R3
Elo1490
Elo1355

John TeixeiravsHugo VianaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · Saturday, June 23, 2012Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Hugo Viana won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Teixeira: Well-roundedvsHugo Viana: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: John Teixeira wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Hugo Viana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Teixeira at +185 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • John Teixeira has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

John Teixeira
Red Corner
VS
Hugo Viana
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1490
Elo
1355
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
173 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John TeixeiraNo prior UFC fights on record.
Hugo VianaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Reuben Duran · Dec 12
L
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Apr 13
W
DECvs Junior Hernandez · Jan 14
L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 14
L
vs Guido Cannetti · Aug 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John TeixeiraMetricHugo Viana
3.36
Strikes / min
3.05
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
63%
Strike defense
57%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
0.22
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.16evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
John Teixeira(1 fights)Hugo Viana(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +135.1|Blue -135.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John TeixeiraTargetHugo Viana

By target zone

19
19% acc · 37%
Head
31
32% acc · 48%
19
76% acc · 37%
Body
29
76% acc · 45%
14
82% acc · 27%
Leg
5
100% acc · 8%

By position

39
32% acc · 75%
Distance
60
47% acc · 92%
13
76% acc · 25%
Clinch
5
42% acc · 8%
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
John Teixeira rounds
0
even
2
Hugo Viana rounds
Round 1Hugo Viana edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 2John Teixeira edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:49
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 3Hugo Viana edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:56
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
52 / 140
Sig Strikes
65 / 141
37%
Sig Str %
45.7%
59 / 147
Total Strikes
78 / 157
1 / 6
TDs
0 / 0
12.5%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:45
Ctrl Time
1:15

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hugo Viana24 / 5628 / 600 / 00
1John Teixeira19 / 5424 / 590 / 00
2Hugo Viana18 / 4225 / 510 / 00
2John Teixeira17 / 4418 / 451 / 40
3Hugo Viana23 / 4325 / 460 / 00
3John Teixeira16 / 4217 / 430 / 20

John Teixeira

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach
Fights1

Hugo Viana

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6