← All fights/Event page

Flyweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1483

John MoragavsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · Saturday, August 25, 2018Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:08

Model Prediction: John Moraga wins(58.2%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Moraga at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Moraga enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

John Moraga

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1491

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John MoragaW3 streak

oldest →

DECvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16

vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17

vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17

KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17

vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John MoragaMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

2.57

Strikes / min

2.63

2.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

56%

Strike defense

49%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

1.61

44%

Takedown defense

57%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John MoragaDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Moraga(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.4|Blue -8.4

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John MoragaTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

35% acc · 43%

Head

67% acc · 69%

86% acc · 43%

Body

100% acc · 31%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

42% acc · 57%

Distance

55% acc · 21%

80% acc · 29%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

100% acc · 14%

Ground

85% acc · 76%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Moraga rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:53Control

Round 2Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:01Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 26

Sig Strikes

29 / 39

53.5%

Sig Str %

74%

19 / 33

Total Strikes

46 / 58

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	12 / 16	24 / 30	1 / 2	1
1	John Moraga	6 / 12	10 / 18	0 / 1	1
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	17 / 23	22 / 28	1 / 2	0
2	John Moraga	8 / 14	9 / 15	0 / 1	0

John Moraga

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights14

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20