← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

John Makdessi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1372

John MakdessivsRoss PearsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, July 28, 2018Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

John Makdessi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsRoss Pearson: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: John Makdessi wins(64.8%)

Actual result: John Makdessi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Makdessi at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Tale of the Tape

John Makdessi

Red Corner

Ross Pearson

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1476

Elo

1372

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John MakdessiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20

vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22

vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23

latest

Ross Pearson

oldest →

vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 16

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John MakdessiMetricRoss Pearson

5.52

Strikes / min

3.68

4.15

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

68%

Strike defense

62%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.74

86%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.37Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John MakdessiRoss Pearson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Makdessi(10 fights)Ross Pearson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +104.1|Blue -104.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John MakdessiTargetRoss Pearson

By target zone

47% acc · 76%

Head

28% acc · 65%

52% acc · 10%

Body

60% acc · 11%

76% acc · 15%

Leg

70% acc · 24%

By position

120

49% acc · 92%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

65% acc · 8%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Makdessi rounds

even

Ross Pearson rounds

Round 1John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes60

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

131 / 261

Sig Strikes

79 / 224

49%

Sig Str %

35%

134 / 265

Total Strikes

81 / 226

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ross Pearson	27 / 65	27 / 65	0 / 0
1	John Makdessi	30 / 64	30 / 64	0 / 0
2	Ross Pearson	30 / 89	30 / 89	0 / 0
2	John Makdessi	41 / 83	41 / 83	0 / 0
3	Ross Pearson	22 / 70	24 / 72	0 / 2
3	John Makdessi	60 / 114	63 / 118	0 / 0

John Makdessi

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23