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Lightweight

3 Rounds

John Makdessi won · S-DEC

Elo1476

Elo1502

John MakdessivsIgnacio BahamondesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · Saturday, April 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

John Makdessi won

S-DEC

Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsIgnacio Bahamondes: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Ignacio Bahamondes wins(68.6%)

Actual result: John Makdessi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ignacio Bahamondes at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Makdessi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
John Makdessi has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
John Makdessi has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ignacio Bahamondes has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

John Makdessi

Red Corner

Ignacio Bahamondes

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1476

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'3"

172.72 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John MakdessiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Ross Pearson · Jul 18

vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22

vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23

latest

Ignacio BahamondesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 24

KOvs Manuel Torres · Sep 24

SUBvs Jalin Turner · Mar 25

vs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 25

vs Tofiq Musayev · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John MakdessiMetricIgnacio Bahamondes

5.52

Strikes / min

5.99

4.15

Strikes absorbed / min

4.07

68%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

86%

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.37evenly matched on net striking+1.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John MakdessiIgnacio Bahamondes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Makdessi(10 fights)Ignacio Bahamondes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -25.8|Blue +25.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -46.9|Blue +46.9

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John MakdessiTargetIgnacio Bahamondes

By target zone

44% acc · 58%

Head

28% acc · 67%

73% acc · 27%

Body

88% acc · 20%

86% acc · 15%

Leg

79% acc · 13%

By position

109

51% acc · 88%

Distance

33% acc · 88%

75% acc · 12%

Clinch

87% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Makdessi rounds

even

Ignacio Bahamondes rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:13

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 2John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 3John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

124 / 232

Sig Strikes

112 / 312

52.7%

Sig Str %

36%

145 / 257

Total Strikes

117 / 318

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 4

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:13

Ctrl Time

1:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ignacio Bahamondes	37 / 85	40 / 88	0 / 2
1	John Makdessi	36 / 67	52 / 86	0 / 0
2	Ignacio Bahamondes	35 / 107	37 / 110	0 / 1
2	John Makdessi	43 / 83	47 / 88	0 / 0
3	Ignacio Bahamondes	40 / 120	40 / 120	0 / 1
3	John Makdessi	45 / 82	46 / 83	0 / 0

John Makdessi

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Ignacio Bahamondes

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10