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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Dennis Hallman won · SUB R1
Elo1476
John Makdessi
Elo1490
Dennis Hallman

John MakdessivsDennis HallmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · Saturday, December 10, 2011Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Dennis Hallman won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:58

Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsDennis Hallman: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Dennis Hallman wins(53.9%)

Actual result: Dennis Hallman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Hallman at +142 American odds

+$142 profit

$242 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • John Makdessi has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • John Makdessi has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Dennis Hallman has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

John Makdessi
Red Corner
VS
Dennis Hallman
Blue Corner
-152
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
1476
Elo
1490
41
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19
L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20
W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21
L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22
L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23
latest
Dennis Hallman
oldest →
W
vs Ben Saunders · Aug 10
W
KOvs Karo Parisyan · Nov 10
L
KOvs Brian Ebersole · Aug 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John MakdessiMetricDennis Hallman
5.52
Strikes / min
1.12
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
1.96
68%
Strike defense
43%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.79
86%
Takedown defense
25%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.37Δ 2.21 — meaningful gap-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1516Strikes62.0 vs 9.3Takedowns0.0 vs 1.1Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.38Form1.0 vs -0.1
John MakdessiDennis Hallman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
John Makdessi(10 fights)Dennis Hallman(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.3|Blue +14.3
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John MakdessiTargetDennis Hallman

By target zone

0
Head
20
63% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

0
Distance
0
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
20
63% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
John Makdessi rounds
0
even
1
Dennis Hallman rounds
Round 1Dennis Hallman edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 0
Sig Strikes
20 / 32
—
Sig Str %
62%
0 / 0
Total Strikes
40 / 54
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 3
—
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
2:48

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dennis Hallman20 / 3240 / 541 / 31
1John Makdessi0 / 00 / 00 / 00

John Makdessi

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20

Dennis Hallman

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4