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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Njokuani won · U-DEC R3
Elo1476
John Makdessi
Elo1354

John MakdessivsAnthony NjokuaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · Saturday, April 21, 2012Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Njokuani won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsAnthony Njokuani: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Anthony Njokuani wins(62.2%)

Actual result: Anthony Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Njokuani at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • John Makdessi has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Anthony Njokuani has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

John Makdessi
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Njokuani
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
1476
Elo
1354
41
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
172.72 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19
L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20
W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21
L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22
L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23
latest
Anthony NjokuaniL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Danny Castillo · Dec 11
L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 12
W
KOvs Roger Bowling · Apr 13
L
vs Vinc Pichel · May 14
L
vs Daron Cruickshank · Oct 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John MakdessiMetricAnthony Njokuani
5.52
Strikes / min
3.94
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
68%
Strike defense
65%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.50
86%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.37evenly matched on net striking+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1483Strikes41.3 vs 77.3Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.33Form-0.0 vs -0.4
John MakdessiAnthony Njokuani

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
John Makdessi(10 fights)Anthony Njokuani(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +122.2|Blue -122.2
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +20.0|Blue -20.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John MakdessiTargetAnthony Njokuani

By target zone

14
21% acc · 36%
Head
29
35% acc · 40%
14
39% acc · 36%
Body
23
57% acc · 32%
11
79% acc · 28%
Leg
21
75% acc · 29%

By position

38
34% acc · 97%
Distance
71
47% acc · 97%
1
25% acc · 3%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 3%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
John Makdessi rounds
0
even
3
Anthony Njokuani rounds
Round 1Anthony Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Anthony Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Anthony Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
39 / 116
Sig Strikes
73 / 152
33%
Sig Str %
46.3%
45 / 124
Total Strikes
75 / 154
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Anthony Njokuani14 / 3914 / 390 / 00
1John Makdessi9 / 2810 / 290 / 00
2Anthony Njokuani27 / 5627 / 560 / 00
2John Makdessi16 / 4518 / 480 / 00
3Anthony Njokuani32 / 5734 / 590 / 00
3John Makdessi14 / 4317 / 470 / 00

John Makdessi

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20

Anthony Njokuani

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8