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Lightweight

3 Rounds

John Makdessi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1363

John MakdessivsAbel TrujilloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, December 16, 2017Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

John Makdessi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsAbel Trujillo: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Abel Trujillo wins(60.6%)

Actual result: John Makdessi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Abel Trujillo at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Makdessi has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

John Makdessi

Red Corner

Abel Trujillo

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1476

Elo

1363

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John MakdessiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20

vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22

vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23

latest

Abel Trujillo

oldest →

SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Dec 14

vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15

SUBvs Tony Sims · Jan 16

vs Jordan Rinaldi · May 16

SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John MakdessiMetricAbel Trujillo

5.52

Strikes / min

2.65

4.15

Strikes absorbed / min

2.31

68%

Strike defense

59%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.18

86%

Takedown defense

40%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.37Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John MakdessiAbel Trujillo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Makdessi(10 fights)Abel Trujillo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +112.8|Blue -112.8

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John MakdessiTargetAbel Trujillo

By target zone

32% acc · 36%

Head

28% acc · 79%

54% acc · 28%

Body

50% acc · 10%

63% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

32% acc · 97%

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Makdessi rounds

even

Abel Trujillo rounds

Round 1John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:01Control

Round 3John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 104

Sig Strikes

29 / 91

45%

Sig Str %

32.3%

57 / 119

Total Strikes

30 / 93

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 6

—

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Abel Trujillo	7 / 19	7 / 19	0 / 1
1	John Makdessi	12 / 28	18 / 38	0 / 0
2	Abel Trujillo	9 / 36	9 / 36	1 / 3
2	John Makdessi	16 / 41	18 / 43	0 / 0
3	Abel Trujillo	13 / 36	14 / 38	0 / 2
3	John Makdessi	19 / 35	21 / 38	0 / 0

John Makdessi

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Abel Trujillo

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10