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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

John Lineker won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1490

John LinekervsRob FontUFC Prediction Result

UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · Saturday, May 14, 2016Curitiba, Parana, Brazil

Official fight result

John Lineker won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Lineker: Pressure fightervsRob Font: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rob Font wins(53.8%)

Actual result: John Lineker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rob Font at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Lineker has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Rob Font has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

John Lineker

Red Corner

Rob Font

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1492

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John Lineker

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Oct 16

vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18

vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19

latest

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John LinekerMetricRob Font

5.36

Strikes / min

5.11

4.27

Strikes absorbed / min

3.53

56%

Strike defense

57%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

0.70

67%

Takedown defense

37%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.09evenly matched on net striking+1.58

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John LinekerRob Font

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Lineker(10 fights)Rob Font(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +3.1|Blue -3.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +134.0|Blue -134.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John LinekerTargetRob Font

By target zone

31% acc · 45%

Head

29% acc · 68%

64% acc · 35%

Body

45% acc · 13%

70% acc · 20%

Leg

89% acc · 20%

By position

37% acc · 70%

Distance

35% acc · 98%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

81% acc · 28%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Lineker rounds

even

Rob Font rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:25

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:03

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns1

Control2:05

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 183

Sig Strikes

40 / 114

41.7%

Sig Str %

34.3%

95 / 200

Total Strikes

40 / 114

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:33

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rob Font	17 / 46	17 / 46	0 / 2
1	John Lineker	17 / 53	20 / 57	0 / 0
2	Rob Font	15 / 45	15 / 45	0 / 1
2	John Lineker	21 / 56	21 / 56	0 / 1
3	Rob Font	8 / 23	8 / 23	0 / 0
3	John Lineker	42 / 74	54 / 87	1 / 1

John Lineker

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21