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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cory Sandhagen won · S-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1484

John LinekervsCory SandhagenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · Saturday, April 27, 2019Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Lineker: Pressure fightervsCory Sandhagen: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: John Lineker wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Lineker at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

John Lineker

Red Corner

Cory Sandhagen

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1492

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'3"

Height

5'11"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John LinekerW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michael McDonald · Jul 16

vs John Dodson · Oct 16

vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18

latest

Cory SandhagenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rob Font · Aug 23

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25

DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John LinekerMetricCory Sandhagen

5.36

Strikes / min

4.86

4.27

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

56%

Strike defense

56%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

1.15

67%

Takedown defense

56%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.09evenly matched on net striking+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John LinekerCory Sandhagen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Lineker(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.1|Blue -7.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +252.0|Blue -252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John LinekerTargetCory Sandhagen

By target zone

32% acc · 54%

Head

33% acc · 60%

61% acc · 37%

Body

70% acc · 13%

67% acc · 9%

Leg

94% acc · 27%

By position

105

42% acc · 99%

Distance

119

44% acc · 99%

17% acc · 1%

Clinch

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Lineker rounds

even

Cory Sandhagen rounds

Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:15

36Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 3Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes49

Takedowns0

Control0:00

48Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

106 / 256

Sig Strikes

120 / 275

40.7%

Sig Str %

43.7%

106 / 256

Total Strikes

128 / 283

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 4

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cory Sandhagen	36 / 86	36 / 86	0 / 1	0
1	John Lineker	28 / 75	28 / 75	0 / 0	0
2	Cory Sandhagen	36 / 73	44 / 81	1 / 2	0
2	John Lineker	29 / 68	29 / 68	1 / 2	0
3	Cory Sandhagen	48 / 116	48 / 116	1 / 1	0
3	John Lineker	49 / 113	49 / 113	0 / 0	1

John Lineker

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights17