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Flyweight

3 Rounds

John Lineker won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1492

Elo1352

John LinekervsAzamat GashimovUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · Saturday, May 18, 2013Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil

Official fight result

John Lineker won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:07

Model Prediction: John Lineker wins(62.3%)

Actual result: John Lineker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Lineker at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Lineker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Azamat Gashimov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
John Lineker has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

John Lineker

Red Corner

Azamat Gashimov

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1492

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John Lineker

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Oct 16

vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18

vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19

latest

Azamat Gashimov

oldest →

SUBvs Ivan Menjivar · Nov 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John LinekerMetricAzamat Gashimov

5.36

Strikes / min

1.24

4.27

Strikes absorbed / min

4.75

56%

Strike defense

53%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

1.69

67%

Takedown defense

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.09Δ 4.60 — meaningful gap-3.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John LinekerAzamat Gashimov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Lineker(10 fights)Azamat Gashimov(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.4|Blue -139.4

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red +3.1|Blue -3.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John LinekerTargetAzamat Gashimov

By target zone

35% acc · 58%

Head

15% acc · 71%

82% acc · 39%

Body

25% acc · 14%

33% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

41% acc · 58%

Distance

14% acc · 71%

80% acc · 11%

Clinch

0% acc

46% acc · 31%

Ground

100% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Lineker rounds

even

Azamat Gashimov rounds

Round 1John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:41

Knockdowns2

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 80

Sig Strikes

7 / 38

49%

Sig Str %

15.5%

46 / 92

Total Strikes

8 / 39

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:46

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Azamat Gashimov	6 / 27	7 / 28	0 / 3
1	John Lineker	20 / 54	29 / 65	0 / 0
2	Azamat Gashimov	1 / 11	1 / 11	0 / 0
2	John Lineker	16 / 26	17 / 27	0 / 0

John Lineker

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16

Azamat Gashimov

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach—

Fights2