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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Pyle won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1364

John HathawayvsMike PyleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · Saturday, October 16, 2010London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Mike Pyle won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Hathaway: WrestlervsMike Pyle: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: John Hathaway wins(71.1%)

Actual result: Mike Pyle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Hathaway at -475 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Pyle is a KO finisher (56% of wins). John Hathaway has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

John Hathaway

Red Corner

Mike Pyle

Blue Corner

-475

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+420

(19%)

1490

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John Hathaway

oldest →

vs Diego Sanchez · May 10

vs Kris McCray · Mar 11

vs Pascal Krauss · May 12

vs John Maguire · Sep 12

KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14

latest

Mike PyleL3 streak

oldest →

vs Colby Covington · May 15

KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16

KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16

KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16

KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John HathawayMetricMike Pyle

3.40

Strikes / min

2.74

1.80

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

62%

Strike defense

60%

2.61

TDs / 15 min

1.80

60%

Takedown defense

70%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.60Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John HathawayMike Pyle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Hathaway(6 fights)Mike Pyle(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +126.1|Blue -126.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John HathawayTargetMike Pyle

By target zone

14% acc · 72%

Head

45% acc · 80%

56% acc · 28%

Body

55% acc · 13%

Leg

75% acc · 7%

By position

19% acc · 100%

Distance

28% acc · 35%

0% acc

Clinch

60% acc · 13%

Ground

83% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Hathaway rounds

even

Mike Pyle rounds

Round 1Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:27

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 2Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:09

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:33Control

Round 3Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:14

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:55Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 99

Sig Strikes

46 / 97

20%

Sig Str %

55.3%

57 / 139

Total Strikes

121 / 180

0 / 2

TDs

5 / 13

TD %

42%

Sub Att

Rev

0:50

Ctrl Time

7:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Pyle	12 / 42	20 / 50	2 / 5	0
1	John Hathaway	9 / 52	17 / 60	0 / 1	0
2	Mike Pyle	22 / 41	71 / 96	1 / 5	1
2	John Hathaway	6 / 36	8 / 39	0 / 0	0
3	Mike Pyle	12 / 14	30 / 34	2 / 3	0
3	John Hathaway	3 / 11	32 / 40	0 / 1	0

John Hathaway

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16