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Lightweight

3 Rounds

John Gunther won · M-DEC R3

Elo1491

John GunthervsAllan ZunigaUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · Friday, July 6, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

John Gunther won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Gunther: WrestlervsAllan Zuniga: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: John Gunther wins(54.1%)

Actual result: John Gunther wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Gunther at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Allan Zuniga has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Allan Zuniga has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

John Gunther

Red Corner

Allan Zuniga

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John Gunther

oldest →

SUBvs Davi Ramos · Nov 18

latest

Allan ZunigaNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John GuntherMetricAllan Zuniga

1.65

Strikes / min

3.93

3.72

Strikes absorbed / min

1.80

46%

Strike defense

61%

7.08

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.07Δ 4.20 — meaningful gap+2.13

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Gunther(2 fights)Allan Zuniga(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John GuntherTargetAllan Zuniga

By target zone

36% acc · 81%

Head

42% acc · 56%

33% acc · 7%

Body

75% acc · 31%

75% acc · 11%

Leg

80% acc · 14%

By position

32% acc · 74%

Distance

46% acc · 75%

71% acc · 19%

Clinch

93% acc · 24%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Gunther rounds

even

Allan Zuniga rounds

Round 1John Gunther edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns5

Control4:30

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2John Gunther edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control4:01

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Allan Zuniga edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:39

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 71

Sig Strikes

59 / 112

43%

Sig Str %

53.3%

94 / 152

Total Strikes

93 / 147

8 / 19

TDs

0 / 0

38.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

11:10

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Allan Zuniga	6 / 11	9 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	John Gunther	8 / 13	40 / 49	5 / 8	0
2	Allan Zuniga	15 / 27	33 / 46	0 / 0	1
2	John Gunther	11 / 24	33 / 53	2 / 6	0
3	Allan Zuniga	38 / 74	51 / 87	0 / 0	0
3	John Gunther	8 / 34	21 / 50	1 / 5	0

John Gunther

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2

Allan Zuniga

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1