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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Petr Yan won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1532

John DodsonvsPetr YanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · Saturday, February 23, 2019Prague, Czech Republic

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Dodson: Well-roundedvsPetr Yan: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Petr Yan wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Petr Yan at -265 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

John Dodson

Red Corner

Petr Yan

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-265

(73%)

1493

Elo

1532

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'3"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John Dodson

oldest →

vs Marlon Moraes · Nov 17

vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18

KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20

latest

Petr YanW4 streak

oldest →

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23

vs Song Yadong · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John DodsonMetricPetr Yan

3.20

Strikes / min

5.16

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

61%

Strike defense

59%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

1.70

82%

Takedown defense

86%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.38Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John DodsonPetr Yan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Dodson(10 fights)Petr Yan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.6|Blue +39.6

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John DodsonTargetPetr Yan

By target zone

28% acc · 60%

Head

47% acc · 76%

73% acc · 27%

Body

80% acc · 20%

80% acc · 13%

Leg

75% acc · 4%

By position

34% acc · 83%

Distance

46% acc · 76%

57% acc · 13%

Clinch

88% acc · 19%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Dodson rounds

even

Petr Yan rounds

Round 1Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:15

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:11

Knockdowns1

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:09

30Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 81

Sig Strikes

80 / 155

34.7%

Sig Str %

50.3%

35 / 86

Total Strikes

102 / 180

2 / 8

TDs

2 / 5

19.3%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

1:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Petr Yan	18 / 43	18 / 43	0 / 1
1	John Dodson	11 / 27	11 / 27	1 / 3
2	Petr Yan	32 / 61	34 / 64	0 / 0
2	John Dodson	15 / 38	20 / 43	0 / 1
3	Petr Yan	30 / 51	50 / 73	2 / 4
3	John Dodson	4 / 16	4 / 16	1 / 4

John Dodson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15