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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

John Dodson won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1488

John DodsonvsPedro MunhozUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

John Dodson won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJohn Dodson: Well-roundedvsPedro Munhoz: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: John Dodson wins(53.8%)

Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Dodson at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

John Dodson

Red Corner

Pedro Munhoz

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1493

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John Dodson

oldest →

vs Marlon Moraes · Nov 17

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18

vs Petr Yan · Feb 19

KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20

latest

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John DodsonMetricPedro Munhoz

3.20

Strikes / min

5.38

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

6.29

61%

Strike defense

55%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

0.48

82%

Takedown defense

82%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.38evenly matched on net striking-0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John DodsonPedro Munhoz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Dodson(10 fights)Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John DodsonTargetPedro Munhoz

By target zone

31% acc · 62%

Head

33% acc · 57%

85% acc · 29%

Body

54% acc · 30%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

60% acc · 13%

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 91%

0% acc

Clinch

80% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Dodson rounds

even

Pedro Munhoz rounds

Round 1John Dodson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

76 / 184

Sig Strikes

69 / 172

40.7%

Sig Str %

39%

76 / 184

Total Strikes

73 / 176

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Pedro Munhoz	13 / 40	13 / 40	0 / 0
1	John Dodson	22 / 59	22 / 59	0 / 0
2	Pedro Munhoz	34 / 64	35 / 65	0 / 0
2	John Dodson	33 / 70	33 / 70	0 / 0
3	Pedro Munhoz	22 / 68	25 / 71	1 / 1
3	John Dodson	21 / 55	21 / 55	0 / 0

John Dodson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20