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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Yaotzin Meza won · SUB R2

Elo1352

Elo1356

John AlbertvsYaotzin MezaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · Saturday, July 27, 2013Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Yaotzin Meza won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:49

Model Prediction: John Albert wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Yaotzin Meza wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Albert at -220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Albert enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Yaotzin Meza threatens submissions; John Albert has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Yaotzin Meza has 29pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
John Albert has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

John Albert

Red Corner

Yaotzin Meza

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1352

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

172.72 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

John AlbertL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dustin Pague · Dec 11

SUBvs Ivan Menjivar · Feb 12

SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 12

SUBvs Scott Jorgensen · Dec 12

latest

Yaotzin MezaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chad Mendes · Dec 12

vs Sergio Pettis · Jun 14

vs Damian Stasiak · Apr 15

vs Sam Sicilia · Jul 15

vs Arnold Allen · Feb 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

John AlbertMetricYaotzin Meza

3.05

Strikes / min

1.43

2.82

Strikes absorbed / min

1.62

35%

Strike defense

64%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.06

50%

Takedown defense

18%

6.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

John AlbertYaotzin Meza

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

John Albert(5 fights)Yaotzin Meza(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.1|Blue +4.1

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +6.0|Blue -6.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

John AlbertTargetYaotzin Meza

By target zone

0% acc

Head

50% acc · 50%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 75%

Leg

67% acc · 50%

By position

30% acc · 75%

Distance

50% acc · 75%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

John Albert rounds

even

Yaotzin Meza rounds

Round 1Yaotzin Meza edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control1:23

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:15Control

Round 2Yaotzin Meza edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 12

Sig Strikes

4 / 7

33%

Sig Str %

62.5%

9 / 17

Total Strikes

29 / 33

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:23

Ctrl Time

5:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yaotzin Meza	3 / 3	21 / 21	1 / 1	2
1	John Albert	3 / 9	6 / 12	0 / 0	1
2	Yaotzin Meza	1 / 4	8 / 12	0 / 1	2
2	John Albert	1 / 3	3 / 5	0 / 0	2

John Albert

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Yaotzin Meza

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6