Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Joey Beltran won · U-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1351

Joey BeltranvsTim HagueUFC Prediction Result

UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · Saturday, May 8, 2010Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Joey Beltran won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJoey Beltran: Pressure fightervsTim Hague: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Joey Beltran wins(71.1%)

Actual result: Joey Beltran wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joey Beltran at +190 American odds

+$190 profit

$290 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joey Beltran enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joey Beltran is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Tim Hague has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Joey Beltran

Red Corner

Tim Hague

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1352

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'4"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joey BeltranL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Aaron Rosa · Jun 11

vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11

KOvs Lavar Johnson · Jan 12

vs James Te Huna · Jul 12

vs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 13

latest

Tim Hague

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joey BeltranMetricTim Hague

4.92

Strikes / min

2.79

5.27

Strikes absorbed / min

4.14

54%

Strike defense

46%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

1.72

75%

Takedown defense

85%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.35evenly matched on net striking-1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joey BeltranTim Hague

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joey Beltran(8 fights)Tim Hague(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joey BeltranTargetTim Hague

By target zone

60% acc · 96%

Head

50% acc · 95%

0% acc

Body

20% acc · 2%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

56% acc · 76%

Distance

40% acc · 63%

75% acc · 19%

Clinch

71% acc · 17%

83% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joey Beltran rounds

even

Tim Hague rounds

Round 1Joey Beltran edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Round 2Joey Beltran edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:19

28Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

97 / 161

Sig Strikes

60 / 120

61.7%

Sig Str %

49%

112 / 176

Total Strikes

65 / 125

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 7

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

2:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tim Hague	11 / 28	11 / 28	0 / 4
1	Joey Beltran	32 / 51	38 / 57	0 / 0
2	Tim Hague	21 / 50	21 / 50	0 / 0
2	Joey Beltran	30 / 65	30 / 65	0 / 0
3	Tim Hague	28 / 42	33 / 47	2 / 3
3	Joey Beltran	35 / 45	44 / 54	0 / 0

Joey Beltran

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Tim Hague

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights2