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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Joe Pyfer won · SUB R2

Elo1553

Elo1491

Joe PyfervsAbdul Razak AlhassanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Saturday, October 7, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joe Pyfer won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:05

Model Prediction: Joe Pyfer wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Joe Pyfer wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joe Pyfer at -395 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Joe Pyfer

Red Corner

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Blue Corner

-395

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

1553

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joe PyferW4 streak

oldest →

vs Jack Hermansson · Feb 24

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 24

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 25

SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 25

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Mar 26

latest

Abdul Razak Alhassan

oldest →

vs Jacob Malkoun · Apr 21

KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21

vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22

KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23

KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joe PyferMetricAbdul Razak Alhassan

3.52

Strikes / min

3.64

3.22

Strikes absorbed / min

4.01

52%

Strike defense

54%

1.45

TDs / 15 min

0.84

62%

Takedown defense

51%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joe PyferAbdul Razak Alhassan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joe Pyfer(8 fights)Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +62.0|Blue -62.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joe PyferTargetAbdul Razak Alhassan

By target zone

32% acc · 58%

Head

27% acc · 36%

75% acc · 35%

Body

67% acc · 18%

67% acc · 8%

Leg

50% acc · 45%

By position

40% acc · 92%

Distance

41% acc · 100%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joe Pyfer rounds

even

Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds

Round 1Joe Pyfer edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control0:32

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Joe Pyfer edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control0:35

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 62

Sig Strikes

11 / 28

40%

Sig Str %

40%

26 / 63

Total Strikes

11 / 28

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

83%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:07

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Abdul Razak Alhassan	7 / 19	7 / 19	0 / 0	1
1	Joe Pyfer	20 / 46	20 / 47	2 / 3	1
2	Abdul Razak Alhassan	4 / 9	4 / 9	0 / 0	0
2	Joe Pyfer	6 / 16	6 / 16	1 / 1	1

Joe Pyfer

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13