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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Yancy Medeiros won · SUB R1

Elo1360

Elo1403

Joe ProctorvsYancy MedeirosUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · Friday, December 12, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Yancy Medeiros won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:37

Style matchupJoe Proctor: Well-roundedvsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Joe Proctor wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Yancy Medeiros wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joe Proctor at +230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joe Proctor is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yancy Medeiros has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Joe Proctor has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Joe Proctor

Red Corner

Yancy Medeiros

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1360

Elo

1403

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joe ProctorL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cristiano Marcello · Feb 14

KOvs Justin Salas · Jul 14

SUBvs Justin Edwards · Jun 15

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Dec 15

KOvs Bryan Barberena · Apr 17

latest

Yancy MedeirosL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18

KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19

vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joe ProctorMetricYancy Medeiros

3.39

Strikes / min

4.36

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

5.67

59%

Strike defense

47%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.33

70%

Takedown defense

73%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joe ProctorYancy Medeiros

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joe Proctor(8 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -42.8|Blue +42.8

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +45.0|Blue -45.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joe ProctorTargetYancy Medeiros

By target zone

8% acc · 13%

Head

20% acc · 32%

57% acc · 27%

Body

53% acc · 36%

69% acc · 60%

Leg

89% acc · 32%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

36% acc · 84%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

50% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joe Proctor rounds

even

Yancy Medeiros rounds

Round 1Yancy Medeiros edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 46

Sig Strikes

25 / 66

32%

Sig Str %

37%

15 / 46

Total Strikes

25 / 66

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yancy Medeiros	25 / 66	25 / 66	0 / 0	1
1	Joe Proctor	15 / 46	15 / 46	0 / 0	0

Joe Proctor

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8

Yancy Medeiros

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14