← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Joe Proctor won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1360

Elo1353

Joe ProctorvsJeremy LarsenUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · Friday, June 1, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joe Proctor won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:59

Style matchupJoe Proctor: Well-roundedvsJeremy Larsen: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jeremy Larsen wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Joe Proctor wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeremy Larsen at +255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joe Proctor is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jeremy Larsen has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Joe Proctor has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Joe Proctor

Red Corner

Jeremy Larsen

Blue Corner

-280

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1360

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joe ProctorL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Justin Salas · Jul 14

SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Dec 14

SUBvs Justin Edwards · Jun 15

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Dec 15

KOvs Bryan Barberena · Apr 17

latest

Jeremy LarsenL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Lucas Martins · May 13

KOvs Andre Fili · Oct 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joe ProctorMetricJeremy Larsen

3.39

Strikes / min

4.87

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

5.75

59%

Strike defense

57%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.49

70%

Takedown defense

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.88

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joe Proctor(8 fights)Jeremy Larsen(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.5|Blue -7.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joe ProctorTargetJeremy Larsen

By target zone

31% acc · 80%

Head

36% acc · 62%

100% acc · 10%

Body

71% acc · 38%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

By position

29% acc · 70%

Distance

45% acc · 100%

50% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joe Proctor rounds

even

Jeremy Larsen rounds

Round 1Joe Proctor edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 28

Sig Strikes

13 / 29

35%

Sig Str %

44%

13 / 31

Total Strikes

13 / 29

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jeremy Larsen	13 / 29	13 / 29	0 / 0	0
1	Joe Proctor	10 / 28	13 / 31	0 / 0	0

Joe Proctor

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8

Jeremy Larsen

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3