← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Joe Lauzon won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1362

Joe LauzonvsTakanori GomiUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · Saturday, July 25, 2015Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Joe Lauzon won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:37

Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsTakanori Gomi: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Joe Lauzon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joe Lauzon at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joe Lauzon threatens submissions; Takanori Gomi has lost 44% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Joe Lauzon

Red Corner

Takanori Gomi

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1492

Elo

1362

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joe Lauzon

oldest →

vs Marcin Held · Jan 17

vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17

KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17

KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18

KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19

latest

Takanori GomiL4 streak

oldest →

vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Apr 14

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joe LauzonMetricTakanori Gomi

2.84

Strikes / min

3.81

5.39

Strikes absorbed / min

3.52

54%

Strike defense

60%

2.39

TDs / 15 min

1.23

54%

Takedown defense

63%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.55Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joe LauzonTakanori Gomi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Takanori Gomi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +130.0|Blue -130.0

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joe LauzonTargetTakanori Gomi

By target zone

58% acc · 100%

Head

13% acc · 29%

Body

63% acc · 71%

Leg

By position

27% acc · 27%

Distance

29% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 73%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joe Lauzon rounds

even

Takanori Gomi rounds

Round 1Joe Lauzon edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:07

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 26

Sig Strikes

7 / 24

57%

Sig Str %

29%

25 / 39

Total Strikes

7 / 24

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:07

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Takanori Gomi	7 / 24	7 / 24	0 / 0	0
1	Joe Lauzon	15 / 26	25 / 39	1 / 1	0

Joe Lauzon

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights20

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13