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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Nina Ansaroff won · SUB R3
Elo1359
Elo1492

Jocelyn Jones-LybargervsNina AnsaroffUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · Sunday, January 15, 2017Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Nina Ansaroff won

SUB · Round 3 · 3:39

Model Prediction: Nina Ansaroff wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Nina Ansaroff wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nina Ansaroff at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger
Red Corner
VS
Nina Ansaroff
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
1359
Elo
1492
40
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
162.56 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jocelyn Jones-LybargerL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Tecia Torres · Dec 15
L
vs Randa Markos · Jun 16
latest
Nina Ansaroff
oldest →
L
vs Justine Kish · Jan 16
W
vs Angela Hill · Nov 17
W
vs Randa Markos · Jul 18
W
vs Claudia Gadelha · Dec 18
L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Jun 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jocelyn Jones-LybargerMetricNina Ansaroff
2.96
Strikes / min
—
4.83
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
0.34
TDs / 15 min
—
81%
Takedown defense
—
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1469 vs 1468Strikes54.0 vs 57.5Takedowns0.5 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Jocelyn Jones-LybargerNina Ansaroff

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger(3 fights)Nina Ansaroff(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -132.6|Blue +132.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights3

Nina Ansaroff

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights1