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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Joaquin Buckley won · S-DEC R3

Elo1516

Elo1491

Joaquin BuckleyvsAbdul Razak AlhassanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Saturday, February 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joaquin Buckley won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Joaquin Buckley wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Joaquin Buckley wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joaquin Buckley at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Abdul Razak Alhassan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joaquin Buckley has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Joaquin Buckley has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Joaquin Buckley

Red Corner

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1516

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joaquin BuckleyL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24

KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24

KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24

vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25

DECvs Sean Brady · May 26

latest

Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jacob Malkoun · Apr 21

KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21

KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23

SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23

KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joaquin BuckleyMetricAbdul Razak Alhassan

3.62

Strikes / min

3.64

3.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.01

58%

Strike defense

54%

1.43

TDs / 15 min

0.84

70%

Takedown defense

51%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joaquin BuckleyAbdul Razak Alhassan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.8|Blue -24.8

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joaquin BuckleyTargetAbdul Razak Alhassan

By target zone

25% acc · 63%

Head

49% acc · 87%

75% acc · 35%

Body

50% acc · 7%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

50% acc · 7%

By position

31% acc · 88%

Distance

39% acc · 48%

63% acc · 10%

Clinch

71% acc · 11%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

61% acc · 41%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joaquin Buckley rounds

even

Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds

Round 1Joaquin Buckley edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns3

Control0:48

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Joaquin Buckley edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control0:55

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Abdul Razak Alhassan edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:22

23Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 153

Sig Strikes

46 / 94

32%

Sig Str %

47%

57 / 159

Total Strikes

55 / 103

5 / 8

TDs

3 / 4

62.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:05

Ctrl Time

3:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Abdul Razak Alhassan	14 / 27	14 / 27	0 / 0
1	Joaquin Buckley	16 / 54	16 / 54	3 / 4
2	Abdul Razak Alhassan	9 / 26	10 / 27	0 / 1
2	Joaquin Buckley	26 / 68	29 / 71	2 / 4
3	Abdul Razak Alhassan	23 / 41	31 / 49	3 / 3
3	Joaquin Buckley	9 / 31	12 / 34	0 / 0

Joaquin Buckley

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13