Skip to content
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ricky Glenn won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1507
Joaquim Silva
Elo1484
Ricky Glenn

Joaquim SilvavsRicky GlennUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Saturday, June 19, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ricky Glenn won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:37

Style matchupJoaquim Silva: Well-roundedvsRicky Glenn: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Joaquim Silva wins(54.3%)

Actual result: Ricky Glenn wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joaquim Silva at -134 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ricky Glenn enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Ricky Glenn is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joaquim Silva has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Joaquim Silva
Red Corner
VS
Ricky Glenn
Blue Corner
-134
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1507
Elo
1484
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'0"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joaquim Silva
oldest →
W
KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22
L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23
W
vs Clay Guida · Dec 23
L
vs Drakkar Klose · May 24
W
vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25
latest
Ricky GlennL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 23
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 23
L
vs Song Kenan · Aug 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joaquim SilvaMetricRicky Glenn
3.43
Strikes / min
3.79
4.17
Strikes absorbed / min
4.30
53%
Strike defense
51%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.72
70%
Takedown defense
69%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.74evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1500Strikes3.9 vs 4.4Takedowns0.2 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.30Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Joaquim SilvaRicky Glenn

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Joaquim Silva(10 fights)Ricky Glenn(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +22.4|Blue -22.4
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -48.4|Blue +48.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joaquim SilvaTargetRicky Glenn

By target zone

1
50% acc · 100%
Head
9
56% acc · 90%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 10%

By position

1
50% acc · 100%
Distance
2
50% acc · 20%
0
Clinch
2
67% acc · 20%
0
Ground
6
60% acc · 60%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Joaquim Silva rounds
0
even
1
Ricky Glenn rounds
Round 1Ricky Glenn edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
1 / 2
Sig Strikes
10 / 17
50%
Sig Str %
58%
1 / 2
Total Strikes
14 / 22
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ricky Glenn10 / 1714 / 220 / 00
1Joaquim Silva1 / 21 / 20 / 00

Joaquim Silva

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12

Ricky Glenn

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4