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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Nasrat Haqparast won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1507

Elo1510

Joaquim SilvavsNasrat HaqparastUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Saturday, August 3, 2019Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Nasrat Haqparast won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:36

Style matchupJoaquim Silva: Well-roundedvsNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Joaquim Silva wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Nasrat Haqparast wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joaquim Silva at +315 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nasrat Haqparast has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nasrat Haqparast has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Joaquim Silva

Red Corner

Nasrat Haqparast

Blue Corner

+315

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-380

(79%)

1507

Elo

1510

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joaquim Silva

oldest →

KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23

vs Clay Guida · Dec 23

vs Drakkar Klose · May 24

vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25

latest

Nasrat Haqparast

oldest →

vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23

KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23

vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24

vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joaquim SilvaMetricNasrat Haqparast

3.43

Strikes / min

6.36

4.17

Strikes absorbed / min

6.00

53%

Strike defense

63%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.34

70%

Takedown defense

86%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.74Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+0.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joaquim SilvaNasrat Haqparast

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joaquim Silva(10 fights)Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.2|Blue +3.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joaquim SilvaTargetNasrat Haqparast

By target zone

0% acc

Head

55% acc · 86%

55% acc · 40%

Body

50% acc · 10%

90% acc · 60%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

27% acc · 100%

Distance

41% acc · 57%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 43%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joaquim Silva rounds

even

Nasrat Haqparast rounds

Round 1Joaquim Silva edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nasrat Haqparast edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 56

Sig Strikes

21 / 38

27%

Sig Str %

57.5%

15 / 56

Total Strikes

21 / 38

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nasrat Haqparast	9 / 22	9 / 22	0 / 0
1	Joaquim Silva	13 / 49	13 / 49	0 / 0
2	Nasrat Haqparast	12 / 16	12 / 16	0 / 0
2	Joaquim Silva	2 / 7	2 / 7	0 / 0

Joaquim Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights12

Nasrat Haqparast

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15