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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Drakkar Klose won · U-DEC R3

Elo1507

Elo1513

Joaquim SilvavsDrakkar KloseUFC Prediction Result

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · Saturday, May 4, 2024Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Drakkar Klose won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJoaquim Silva: Well-roundedvsDrakkar Klose: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Drakkar Klose wins(77.7%)

Actual result: Drakkar Klose wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Drakkar Klose at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Joaquim Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Joaquim Silva

Red Corner

Drakkar Klose

Blue Corner

+154

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1507

Elo

1513

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joaquim SilvaW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Jun 21

KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23

vs Clay Guida · Dec 23

vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25

latest

Drakkar Klose

oldest →

KOvs Brandon Jenkins · Apr 22

vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 22

KOvs Joe Solecki · Dec 23

KOvs Joel Alvarez · Dec 24

vs Edson Barboza · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joaquim SilvaMetricDrakkar Klose

3.43

Strikes / min

4.25

4.17

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

53%

Strike defense

49%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

1.49

70%

Takedown defense

69%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.74Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joaquim SilvaDrakkar Klose

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joaquim Silva(10 fights)Drakkar Klose(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.7|Blue +6.7

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joaquim SilvaTargetDrakkar Klose

By target zone

47% acc · 42%

Head

49% acc · 57%

78% acc · 36%

Body

73% acc · 31%

100% acc · 22%

Leg

73% acc · 11%

By position

52% acc · 56%

Distance

48% acc · 63%

85% acc · 37%

Clinch

81% acc · 37%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joaquim Silva rounds

even

Drakkar Klose rounds

Round 1Drakkar Klose edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:01

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Drakkar Klose edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:13

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:58Control

Round 3Joaquim Silva edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:41

Knockdowns1

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 93

Sig Strikes

70 / 123

65.3%

Sig Str %

59.3%

143 / 179

Total Strikes

96 / 151

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 7

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:55

Ctrl Time

5:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Drakkar Klose	29 / 54	35 / 60	0 / 0	0
1	Joaquim Silva	20 / 30	25 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Drakkar Klose	17 / 23	35 / 43	0 / 4	0
2	Joaquim Silva	15 / 20	79 / 86	0 / 1	0
3	Drakkar Klose	24 / 46	26 / 48	0 / 3	0
3	Joaquim Silva	24 / 43	39 / 58	0 / 0	1

Joaquim Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights12

Drakkar Klose

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12