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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Taila Santos won · SUB R1

Elo1505

Elo1477

Joanne WoodvsTaila SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Saturday, November 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Taila Santos won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:49

Style matchupJoanne Wood: Pressure fightervsTaila Santos: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Taila Santos wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Taila Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Taila Santos at -425 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Taila Santos has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Wood

Red Corner

Taila Santos

Blue Corner

+320

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-425

(81%)

1505

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne WoodW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 22

vs Luana Carolina · Mar 23

vs Maryna Moroz · Mar 24

latest

Taila SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Molly McCann · Jul 20

vs Gillian Robertson · Dec 20

vs Roxanne Modafferi · Sep 21

vs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 22

vs Erin Blanchfield · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne WoodMetricTaila Santos

7.10

Strikes / min

3.39

4.89

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

51%

Strike defense

58%

1.52

TDs / 15 min

2.00

58%

Takedown defense

86%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.21Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joanne WoodTaila Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joanne Wood(4 fights)Taila Santos(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +28.4|Blue -28.4

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joanne WoodTargetTaila Santos

By target zone

22% acc · 30%

Head

46% acc · 70%

43% acc · 11%

Body

43% acc · 10%

64% acc · 59%

Leg

86% acc · 20%

By position

39% acc · 96%

Distance

45% acc · 63%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

Ground

61% acc · 37%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joanne Wood rounds

even

Taila Santos rounds

Round 1Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 68

Sig Strikes

30 / 60

39%

Sig Str %

50%

30 / 72

Total Strikes

36 / 67

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Taila Santos	30 / 60	36 / 67	0 / 0	2
1	Joanne Wood	27 / 68	30 / 72	0 / 0	0

Joanne Wood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

Taila Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7