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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Joanne Wood won · S-DEC R3

Elo1505

Elo1493

Joanne WoodvsMaryna MorozUFC Prediction Result

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Saturday, March 9, 2024Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Joanne Wood won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJoanne Wood: Pressure fightervsMaryna Moroz: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Joanne Wood wins(59.0%)

Actual result: Joanne Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joanne Wood has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Wood

Red Corner

Maryna Moroz

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1505

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne Wood

oldest →

SUBvs Taila Santos · Nov 21

SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 22

vs Luana Carolina · Mar 23

latest

Maryna MorozL2 streak

oldest →

vs Sabina Mazo · Mar 19

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Mar 20

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Mar 22

vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22

SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne WoodMetricMaryna Moroz

7.10

Strikes / min

4.42

4.89

Strikes absorbed / min

4.89

51%

Strike defense

51%

1.52

TDs / 15 min

0.70

58%

Takedown defense

42%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.21Δ 2.68 — meaningful gap-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joanne WoodMaryna Moroz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joanne Wood(4 fights)Maryna Moroz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.3|Blue -12.3

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joanne WoodTargetMaryna Moroz

By target zone

42% acc · 54%

Head

49% acc · 77%

87% acc · 29%

Body

70% acc · 23%

79% acc · 17%

Leg

0% acc

By position

112

52% acc · 82%

Distance

47% acc · 77%

74% acc · 17%

Clinch

86% acc · 19%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joanne Wood rounds

even

Maryna Moroz rounds

Round 1Maryna Moroz edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:35Control

Round 2Joanne Wood edged it

Sig. strikes58

Takedowns0

Control0:04

45Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:29Control

Round 3Joanne Wood edged it

Sig. strikes74

Takedowns1

Control0:08

52Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

136 / 249

Sig Strikes

102 / 195

51%

Sig Str %

58%

173 / 290

Total Strikes

156 / 255

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 2

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

6:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maryna Moroz	5 / 7	50 / 58	1 / 1
1	Joanne Wood	4 / 9	21 / 27	0 / 0
2	Maryna Moroz	45 / 81	52 / 88	0 / 0
2	Joanne Wood	58 / 109	75 / 129	0 / 0
3	Maryna Moroz	52 / 107	54 / 109	0 / 1
3	Joanne Wood	74 / 131	77 / 134	1 / 1

Joanne Wood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

Maryna Moroz

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11