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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Maryna Moroz won · SUB R1
Elo1493
Joanne Calderwood
Elo1493
Maryna Moroz

Joanne CalderwoodvsMaryna MorozUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · Saturday, April 11, 2015Krakow, Poland

Official fight result

Maryna Moroz won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:30

Model Prediction: Joanne Calderwood wins(77.7%)

Actual result: Maryna Moroz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanne Calderwood at -550 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Calderwood
Red Corner
VS
Maryna Moroz
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
1493
Elo
1493
29
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne Calderwood
oldest →
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19
W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 19
L
SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21
latest
Maryna MorozL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Mar 20
W
SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Mar 22
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22
L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23
L
vs Joanne Wood · Mar 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne CalderwoodMetricMaryna Moroz
—
Strikes / min
4.42
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
—
Strike defense
51%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.70
—
Takedown defense
42%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes109.0 vs —Takedowns2.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Joanne CalderwoodMaryna Moroz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)Maryna Moroz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights1

Maryna Moroz

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11